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Mr Pac-10’s Weekly Review
Jermaine Kearse (AP)
Mr Pac Ten
Posted Dec 5, 2009


Collegefootballnews’ Matthew Smith Reviews all the Pac-10 Games, Week Thirteen

Rising:
Washington: First Apple Cup shutout in 45 years.
USC: Bounce-back showing by the Trojans.
Arizona: They won a game they probably shouldn’t.

Hovering:
Stanford: They were supposed to win, and they did.

Falling:
UCLA: They made it a game for a while before USC pulled away at the end.
Arizona St: At least they fought back to make it a game before choking it away.
Washington St: In another humiliating season, this was the lowest point.

Arizona (-3) 20, @ Arizona St 17
my pick: @ Arizona St 24, Arizona 23

What to take from this:
If you’re Arizona:

They certainly didn’t play very well in this game, but they did just enough. Now they’re 5-3, and if they can pull off the upset of USC next week, that’s a 6-3 Pac-10 run, a major success for the year.

If you’re Arizona St:
This was a microcosm of the season. ASU is in the game, physically outplays the other guys, and blows it with penalties and turnovers. At this point, they’ve screwed up: Georgia, Cal, USC, UCLA (six turnovers), and now Arizona. They might be a better team next year (though they lose plenty of important players), but with a tough trip to Wisconsin and five Pac-10 road games, six wins seems optimistic. Erickson probably gets one more year, but I’d be surprised to see him in 2011.

@ USC (-13) 28, UCLA 7
my pick: @ USC 28, UCLA 21

What to take from this:
If you’re UCLA:

Despite the lopsided final score, the Bruins were in it throughout. This year has shown that there’s a long way to go until they get back to Pac-10 contention (which is where they want to be), but it was a step forward. It would help if they could end up in a bowl game, but even if they don’t, this was a decent year, despite the extended losing streak they suffered through.

If you’re USC:
This is still USC, and this is still a very tough team to beat. One more win and they’re most likely in the Holiday Bowl, which is a pretty decent result for the worst year they’ve had since 2001.

@ Washington (-25) 30, Washington St 0
my pick: @ Washington 42, @ Washington St 10

What to take from this:
If you’re Washington St:

The season is finally over. I can’t really find anything positive to say about the Cougars’ season. Two straight years they’ve been truly awful, and I’m not sure there’s much hope for a substantial improvement next year.

If you’re Washington:
This was a great showing by the Huskies. Jake Locker had a fantastic game, the defense played really well, and they showed decisively that they’re way better than they were during last year’s mess. Now they have Cal coming in next week, and if they can find a way to win, this season will be a huge step in the right direction.

@ Stanford (-10.5) 45, Notre Dame 38
my pick: @ Stanford 38, Notre Dame 34

What to take from this:
It certainly wasn’t easy, but Stanford got the win. Now they’re at eight wins, way more than most people projected. If their goals were to make a bowl game and to at least split Cal and Notre Dame, they’ve clearly met their goals for this year. They might take a step backwards in 2010 without Gerhart, but this is a program that is clearly moving in the right direction. The nightmare that was most of this decade appears to be over. Also, Toby Gerhart made another big Heisman statement. Maybe he gets passed by Mark Ingram or Colt McCoy next week, but right now he looks to have a solid chance to cap a fantastic season with the Heisman Trophy.

Pac-10 Games Record:
This Week: 3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS
Season: 54-19 SU, 27-39-3 ATS

National Games of the Week:

@ BYU (-7.5) 26, Utah (OT) 23
my pick: @ BYU 31, Utah 24

@ West Virginia 19, Pitt (-1) 16
my pick: Pitt 28, @ West Virginia 24

@ Oklahoma (-8) 27, Oklahoma St 0
my pick: @ Oklahoma 31, Oklahoma St 27

National Games Record:
This Week: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS
Season: 24-16 SU, 18-21-1 ATS

Bad Lines

Boise St -13.5 vs Nevada
Missed by 2.5 points

Memphis +16.5 @ Tulsa
Covered by 13.5 points.

Rutgers -3 @ Lousiville
Covered by 17 points.

Duke +4.5 vs Wake
Missed by 6.5 points.

Georgia Tech -7.5 vs Georgia
Missed by 13.5 points.

Marshall +1.5 @ UTEP
Missed by 29.5 points.

San Diego St +6.5 @ UNLV
Covered by 2.5 points.

UAB +3 vs UCF
Missed by 4 points.

Bad Lines Record:
This Week: 3-5
Season: 40-31-2

Mr Pac-10's 2009 Blog

Questions, comments or suggestions? Email me at cfn_ms@hotmail.com

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