2010 CFN 5-Year Program Rankings - 61 to 80

CFN's 2010 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... Teams 61 through 80

Preview 2010 - No. 61 to 80

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis

2010 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis
- Bottom 20 | No. 81 to 100 | No. 61 to 80
- No. 41 to 60 | No. 21 to 40 | No. 11 to 20
- No. 10 Alabama | No. 9 Penn St | No. 8 Virginia Tech
- No. 7 Georgia | No. 6 LSU | No. 5 Oklahoma
- No. 4 Ohio State | No. 3 Texas | No. 2 Florida | No. 1 USC

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Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allow a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we have created our CFN Five-Year Program Analysis (it used to be three years, but we supersized it) highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies. One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we have listed the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.37
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.84
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 9.62
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 29.25
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.62
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.96
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.25
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.03
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.02
- Bad Wins: Wins over teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 10.83
- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

80. Washington

2010 Total Score: 39.87
2009 Ranking: 99
Attendance Score: 6.35
APR Score: 6
Draft: 5
FBS Wins: 16
Quality Wins: 8
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 2.5
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 4
Conf. Score: 2.27
Program Analysis: Not all that long ago, Washington was ranked among the elite of the college football elite. The fall started in 2004 slopping to 23rd, and then ino the 30s, and then down to a low point of 99 last year. Under Steve Sarkisian, things are starting to pick up a bit, but the 16 FBS wins over the last five years are the lowest among anyone ranked in the top 96, but the always decent Attendance Score and the APR have provided a floor. The Draft Score will quickly improve.

79. Colorado

2010 Total Score: 40.93
2009 Ranking: 60
Attendance Score: 4.93
APR Score: 2
Draft: 9
FBS Wins: 22
Quality Wins: 8
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 4
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 5
Conf. Score: 3.25
Program Analysis: Ranked 23rd as recently as 2004, the one-time national title contender has fizzled over the last several years helped by a puzzling job done by Dan Hawkins. The conference wins have come to a screeching halt and the consistent wins have been hard to come by. The miserable APR adds insult to injury.

78. Vanderbilt

2010 Total Score: 41.08
2009 Ranking: 77
Attendance Score: 3.58
APR Score: 9
Draft: 7
FBS Wins: 19
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 1.5
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 10
Conf. Score: 2.50
Program Analysis: It’s impressive that Vanderbilt is this high even with so many issues. The conference winning percentage is the lowest among anyone in the top 96, and the FBS wins are the fewest of anyone in the top 78, but APR is impressive (as always) and there have been a stunning number of players drafted. Now the program is in flux with Bobby Johnson moving on, but being in a division with Florida and Georgia is a bigger problem.

77. Ball State

2010 Total Score: 41.33
2009 Ranking: 64
Attendance Score: 1.42
APR Score: 4
Draft: 5
FBS Wins: 27
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 4.5
Elite Losses: 2
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 6.15
Program Analysis: One 12-2 season can do wonders. Ball State was awful from 1997 to 2006, and then everything clicked for two years, head coach Brady Hoke bolted to San Diego State, and things went back to normal. Stan Parrish had a rough first season, and there could be a quick tumble down the rankings if he can’t turn things around in the near future with a bad Attendance Score and a low APR dragging the ranking down.

76. Minnesota

2010 Total Score: 41.56
2009 Ranking: 80
Attendance Score: 5.06
APR Score: 4
Draft: 8
FBS Wins: 24
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 4.5
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 6
Conf. Score: 3.25
Program Analysis: Glen Mason was never able to get the Gophers over the hump, but at least he had them at a steadily high level. Tim Brewster hasn’t been able to take the program and move it forward even with a new stadium, plenty of enthusiasm, and a tireless sales pitch. The APR is an embarrassment, but the lack of Big Ten wins is the biggest problem that could lead to a new regime if Brewster doesn’t have a huge 2010.

75. Illinois

2010 Total Score: 42.35
2009 Ranking: 89
Attendance Score: 5.35
APR Score: 7
Draft: 8
FBS Wins: 17
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Wins: 1.5
Bad Losses: 3
Elite Losses: 11
Bad Wins: 9
Conf. Score: 3.00
Program Analysis: Ron Zook had his Bucky Dent moment in 2007 with the trip to the Rose Bowl, but Illinois has been lousy during the rest of his tenure. For all the talent and all the athletes he has brought in, he hasn’t come up with enough victories as the Illini have won just 30% of their Big Ten games over the last five years. The 17 FBS wins are the lowest of anyone in the top 79.

74. Northern Illinois

2010 Total Score: 43.02
2009 Ranking: 69
Attendance Score: 1.88
APR Score: 9
Draft: 3
FBS Wins: 25
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 1.5
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 18
Conf. Score: 5.64
Program Analysis: The Huskies have been among the MAC’s elite, ranking 45th in 2006, but they haven’t won anything of note as they’ve failed time and again to get over the title hump. Even so, they’ve been good enough to go to bowl games on a regular basis, have a great APR, and they’ve won the games they’re supposed to. With one of the best teams in the league this year, the ranking will move up again in a hurry.

73. Middle Tennessee

2010 Total Score: 43.50
2009 Ranking: 96
Attendance Score: 1.86
APR Score: 8
Draft: 2
FBS Wins: 29
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 4.5
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 12
Conf. Score: 6.39
Program Analysis: The Blue Raiders have moved up in a big hurry going from the 100s up to just outside of the 60s with a few strong seasons in a row. With the league’s most talented team going into this year, a Sun Belt title is a must to overcome and mediocre Attendance Score and the lack of drafted players. The 64% conference winning clip will only get better.

72. Kansas State

2010 Total Score: 44.14
2009 Ranking: 73
Attendance Score: 4.64
APR Score: 4
Draft: 8
FBS Wins: 23
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Wins: 1
Bad Losses: 1
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 3.75
Program Analysis: One of the top programs in college football when Bill Snyder had everything working, there has been a steady decline down the charts. Snyder is trying to put a stop to the slide, and that has to come with more Big 12 wins after winning just 38% of the time over the last five years. There has been NFL talent and the attendance isn’t awful, but it’s all about coming up with more wins to make any sort of a move up.

71. Ohio

2010 Total Score: 45.44
2009 Ranking: 93
Attendance Score: 1.69
APR Score: 7
Draft: 3
FBS Wins: 28
Quality Wins: 6
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 1.5
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 16
Conf. Score: 6.15
Program Analysis: Very quietly, Frank Solich has done a strong job in Athens with two appearances in the MAC title game and with a steady flow of talent coming through the program. After years of being around the 100s, ranking 110th in 2004, Ohio has moved high up the charts in a hurry even with a low Attendance Score and without a conference title.

70. Western Michigan

2010 Total Score: 46.57
2009 Ranking: 86
Attendance Score: 1.92
APR Score: 7
Draft: 4
FBS Wins: 30
Quality Wins: 4
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 1.5
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 16
Conf. Score: 6.15
Program Analysis: The Broncos have gone from 106th in 2006 to its highest ranking in years with a quick move up thanks to the most FBS wins of anyone in the bottom 40 and with a strong APR. While WMU has been great in MAC play, there has been an issue of being in the same division as Central Michigan. Even so, the program has ben good enough to be a factor every year.

69. Ole Miss

2010 Total Score: 47.58
2009 Ranking: 78
Attendance Score: 5.33
APR Score: 2
Draft: 11
FBS Wins: 22
Quality Wins: 9
Elite Wins: 2.5
Bad Losses: 1
Elite Losses: 9
Bad Wins: 12
Conf. Score: 3.00
Program Analysis: The Rebels could fly up the charts next year if 2010 is merely average. The 3-8 2005 campaign won’t be a part of the equation next year, so after a great run of recent success, the Ed Orgeron era will soon get pushed out of the rankings and all the good things currently happening will count more and more. Thanks to Orgeron, the Draft Score is high (it’s the best among anyone ranked outside of the top 68), but winning 30% of SEC games over the last five years is a problem. That will quickly change.

68. Troy

2010 Total Score: 50.77
2009 Ranking: 72
Attendance Score: 1.97
APR Score: 5
Draft: 6
FBS Wins: 32
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 1
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 16
Conf. Score: 8.06
Program Analysis: The star of the Sun Belt for the last several years, Troy has won more than 80% of is conference games over the last five seasons and has come up with 32 FBS wins, the most outside of anyone ranked in the top 64. There have been several NFL prospects going through the program, the APR isn’t awful, and there have been enough good wins to be the highest ranked Sun Belt team in the rankings.

67. Purdue

2010 Total Score: 51.45
2009 Ranking: 62
Attendance Score: 5.70
APR Score: 4
Draft: 13
FBS Wins: 27
Quality Wins: 5
Elite Wins: 1
Bad Losses: 0
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 12
Conf. Score: 4.25
Program Analysis: The program wasn’t able to keep up the momentum from the Drew Brees era, and while Joe Tiller did a decent job, things got stale. Danny Hope had a great first season considering the lack of star power and all he had to do to rebuild things, and now Purdue has the potential to move up the rankings in a hurry. While winning less than half of the Big Ten games is a problem, the talent level has been impressive with a good array of NFL talent coming through West Lafayette.

66. Stanford

2010 Total Score: 51.85
2009 Ranking: 68
Attendance Score: 4.01
APR Score: 9
Draft: 10
FBS Wins: 23
Quality Wins: 8
Elite Wins: 1.5
Bad Losses: 3
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 5
Conf. Score: 4.09
Program Analysis: Stanford has a less than perfect APR? Things are slipping under Jim Harbaugh … yeah, right. The program has been just good enough on the field to not take a big drop, but the 23 FBS wins are tied for the fewest of anyone in the top 68. As long as Harbaugh is around, the Cardinal will be a player in the Pac 10, and the Draft Score should only go up.

65. NC State

2010 Total Score: 52.08
2009 Ranking: 56
Attendance Score: 5.58
APR Score: 5
Draft: 15
FBS Wins: 20
Quality Wins: 13
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 1
Elite Losses: 1
Bad Wins: 7
Conf. Score: 3.50
Program Analysis: Tom O’Brien hasn’t exactly made big things happen at NC State after so many strong years at Boston College, and now the program is at its lowest ranking in years after coming in at 31 in 2004. The APR isn’t anything special and the conference wins aren’t there with the Pack victorious just 35% of the time in ACC play over the last five years, but the talent is coming through with the highest Draft Score of anyone outside of the top 48.

64. Southern Miss

2010 Total Score: 52.64
2009 Ranking: 52
Attendance Score: 2.89
APR Score: 5
Draft: 3
FBS Wins: 34
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 1.5
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 13
Conf. Score: 6.25
Program Analysis: Jeff Bower did a great job of keeping USM a consistent power, but there was a thought that it was time for a change and Larry Fedora came in with a little bit of controversy. He hasn’t taken the Golden Eagles back to the league’s elite status, but the success is there with the 34 FBS wins the most of anyone outside of the top 61. Over the last five years, winning over 63% of conference games is a plus.

63. Air Force

2010 Total Score: 52.72
2009 Ranking: 66
Attendance Score: 3.72
APR Score: 10
Draft: 0
FBS Wins: 30
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 1.5
Elite Losses: 3
Bad Wins: 13
Conf. Score: 5.50
Program Analysis: After Fisher DeBerry’s run came to a halt, Troy Calhoun took over and did a fantastic job of restoring the glory. The Draft Score will always be a negative, but the perfect APR helps offset that to a point. Mired as the fourth best team in the Mountain West, there haven’t been too many problems with the mediocre teams, but there aren’t a bunch of wins over the top teams. Stuck around the 60s for years, it’ll take one or two big seasons to make a move up.

62. Connecticut

2010 Total Score: 54.00
2009 Ranking: 57
Attendance Score: 3.89
APR Score: 6
Draft: 9
FBS Wins: 29
Quality Wins: 7
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 0
Elite Losses: 6
Bad Wins: 11
Conf. Score: 4.86
Program Analysis: Randy Edsall appears to finally have the program on the verge of turning a corner after a good year with several close losses (after overcoming a tragedy). Failing to win half of Big East games over the last five years keeps the score low, but considering the Huskies were 90th in the 2004 rankings, the ranking remains respectable. There haven’t been any bad losses, but there also haven’t been enough Quality Wins with just eight. Very soon, it should all click and the big wins should come.

61. Nevada

2010 Total Score: 54.46
2009 Ranking: 70
Attendance Score: 1.71
APR Score: 6
Draft: 3
FBS Wins: 36
Quality Wins: 8
Elite Wins: 0
Bad Losses: 2.5
Elite Losses: 4
Bad Wins: 17
Conf. Score: 7.00
Program Analysis: When you win 70% of your conference games, a lot of problems become overlooked. The Attendance Score is mediocre and the eight Quality Wins are a bit paltry, but the Wolf Pack has been a high-level WAC power and the wins have come. Under Hall of Fame head man, Chris Ault, Nevada has won 36 FBS games over the last five years (the most of anyone outside of the top 52).