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2010 CFN Program Rankings - No. 10 Alabama

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 25, 2010


CFN's 2010 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... No. 10 Alabama


Preview 2010 - No. 10 Alabama

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis


2010 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis
- Bottom 20 | No. 81 to 100 | No. 61 to 80
- No. 41 to 60 | No. 21 to 40 | No. 11 to 20
- No. 10 Alabama | No. 9 Penn St | No. 8 Virginia Tech
- No. 7 Georgia | No. 6 LSU | No. 5 Oklahoma
- No. 4 Ohio State | No. 3 Texas | No. 2 Florida | No. 1 USC

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Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allow a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we have created our CFN Five-Year Program Analysis (it used to be three years, but we supersized it) highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies. One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we have listed the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.37
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.84
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 9.62
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 29.25
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.62
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.96
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.25
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.03
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.02
- Bad Wins: Wins over teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 10.83

- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories

10. Alabama

2010 Total Score: 102.99
2009 Ranking: 20

Program Analysis: Don’t get too comfy, Tide fans. This ranking is going to shoot up the charts, even if it takes a few more years.

Gone is the 2004 6-6 season and in came a 13-0 national title campaign to help boost Bama into the top ten, and it should only get better over the next few seasons. There’s still the 13-13 record from 2006 and 2007 to deal with in the formula, but with the way Nick Saban is stockpiling talent, this has the look of possibly being the top team in the rankings by 2013. Until then, the program will have to settle for being No. 1 at the moment.

The Draft Score is the lowest of anyone in the top ten, but the wins have been piling up with two straight great years overcoming the mediocrity of a few seasons ago. The eight Elite Losses are the second most of anyone in the top 16, and the bad loss to Mississippi State in 2006 is going to be a problem for the next few seasons, but it’s impossible to argue with winning 70% of SEC games and 100% (the SEC Championships don’t count in the formula) over the last two seasons.

This is college football’s superpower of superpowers at the immediate moment, and it’s not going to change any time soon.

Attendance Score: 8.99
2009: 92,012
2008: 92.138
2007: 92,138
2006: 81,870
2005: 81,870

APR Score: 7

Draft: 19
2006: DeMeco Ryans, Roman Harper, Brodie Croyle, Charlie Peprah, Mark Anderson
2007: LeRon McClain, Kenneth Darby, Ramzee Robinson
2008: NONE
2009: Andre Smith, Glen Coffee, Antoine Caldwell, Rashad Johnson
2010: Rolando McClain, Kareem Jackson, Javier Arenas, Terrence Cody, Mike Johnson, Marquis Johnson, Brandon Deaderick

FBS Wins: 46

Quality Wins: 23
2005: Southern Miss, South Carolina, Florida, Texas Tech
2006: Hawaii
2007: Arkansas, Houston, Tennessee
2008: Clemson, at Georgia, Kentucky, at Ole Miss, at LSU
2009: Virginia Tech, Arkansas, at Kentucky, at Ole Miss, South Carolina, Tennessee, LSU, at Auburn, Florida, Texas

Elite Wins: 4
2005: Texas Tech (Cotton Bowl)
2006: None
2007: None
2008: at Georgia
2009: Florida (SEC Championship), Texas (BCS Championship)

Bad Losses: 1.5
2006: Mississippi State

Elite Losses: 8
2005: LSU
2006: at Florida, at LSU, Auburn
2007: Georgia, LSU
2008: Florida (SEC Championship), Utah (Sugar Bowl)
2009: None

Bad Wins: 12
2005: at Ole Miss, Utah State, at Mississippi State
2006: Duke, FIU
2007: Western Carolina, at Ole Miss
2008: Tulane, Western Kentucky
2009: FIU, North Texas, UT-Chattanooga

Conf. Score: 7.00
2005: 6-2
2006: 2-6
2007: 4-4
2008: 8-0
2009: 8-0