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2010 CFN Program Rankings - No. 3 Texas

CollegeFootballNews.com
Posted Aug 26, 2010


CFN's 2010 Five-Year Program Rankings and Analysis ... No. 3 Texas



Preview 2010 - No. 3 Texas

CFN Five-Year Program Analysis


2010 CFN Five-Year Program Analysis
- Bottom 20 | No. 81 to 100 | No. 61 to 80
- No. 41 to 60 | No. 21 to 40 | No. 11 to 20
- No. 10 Alabama | No. 9 Penn St | No. 8 Virginia Tech
- No. 7 Georgia | No. 6 LSU | No. 5 Oklahoma
- No. 4 Ohio State | No. 3 Texas | No. 2 Florida | No. 1 USC

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Every new coach realistically needs five years to make a program his. He doesn't always get that much time, often being asked to turn things around right away. Five years allow a coach to go through an entire recruiting cycle, get comfortable in the position, and implement everything he'd like to do. With that in mind, we have created our CFN Five-Year Program Analysis (it used to be three years, but we supersized it) highlighting off-the-field factors like the Academic Progress Report (do the players go to class) and the players drafted by the NFL (a huge selling point to recruits), to attendance (it pays the bills) and wins, wins, wins. On-field success ends up being all that matters, so that's where the focus lies. One note, the totals for each team might not add up because we have listed the total number of wins and losses for the categories, while the Bad Wins and Losses and Elite Wins and Losses might be scored differently (two home losses against 3-9 teams would be scored as a 3).

Quick Explanation of Scores
- Attendance: Home attendance average over the last five years divided by 10,000. Avg. Score: 4.37
- APR: The most recently released Academic Performance Rate. 90th to 100th percentile (best) gets a 10, 1st to 10th percentile (worst) gets a 1 Avg. Score: 5.84
- Quality Wins: Wins over FBS teams that finished with a winning record. Avg. Score: 9.62
- Total Wins: Wins over FBS teams. Avg. Score: 29.25
- Players Drafted: Number of players drafted. Avg. Score: 9.62
- Conference Win %: Conference winning percentage times 10. Avg. Score: 4.96
- Elite Win Score: Wins over FBS teams that finished with two losses or fewer, or on the road, at a neutral site, or in a bowl over teams that finished with three losses or fewer. Add an additional 0.5 for an Elite Win over a two-loss team on the road. Avg. Number: 1.25
- Bad Loss Score: Losses to teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any loss to a non-FBS team. Subtract each loss from the overall total. Subtract an additional 0.5 for each Bad Loss at home. Avg. Number: 2.03
- Elite Losses: Losses to teams that finished with two wins or fewer. Take 0.25 of the number. Avg. Number: 5.02
- Bad Wins: Wins over teams that finished with three wins or fewer or any win to a non-FBS team Avg. Number: 10.83

- Detailed Explanation of the Scoring System and Categories
3. Texas

2010 Total Score: 133.12
2009 Ranking: 2

Program Analysis: Texas has been hovering around the top spot for years, but it hasn’t been able to overtake USC. While overcoming the Trojans should happen next year, it might only be back up to No. 2, where it was for the last few years, with Florida almost certain to take over the No. 1 role. Even so, being in the top three year after year is still phenomenal for a program that was outside of the top ten in 2004.

Mack Brown has created a factory in Austin with the second-highest Draft Score behind Florida, while the 57 FBS wins are the most of anyone with two more than USC and four more than Florida and Boise State. Even in a bit of a rebuilding year, it’s going to take something special from someone other than Oklahoma to keep the Longhorns from going back to the Big 12 title game, and it’s almost a mortal lock for yet another double-digit win season.

Over the last five years, Texas has lost just eight games and has a mere seven Bad Wins (teams that finished the year with three wins or fewer). In other words, there haven’t been a whole bunch of gimmes compared to other top teams.

The APR could stand to be better, but that’s the only real knock. This is a special team that’s as consistent as they come, and if everything breaks the right way, this could be college football’s top program next year at this time.

Attendance Score: 9.12
2005: 83,333
2006: 88,505
2007: 85,144
2008: 98,046
2009: 101,175

APR Score: 6

Draft: 28
2006: QB Vince Young, DB Michael Huff, DB Cedric Griffin, TE Davis Thomas, OT Jonathan Scott, DT Rodrique Wright 2007: DB Michael Griffin, DB Aaron Ross, OT Justin Blalock, DE Tim Crowder, DE Brian Robison, DB Tarell Brown, OG Casey Studdard 2008: WR Limas Sweed, RB Jamaal Charles, TE Jermichael Finley, OT Tony Hills, DT Frank Okam 2009: DE Brian Orakpo, DT Roy Miller, DE Henry Melton, RB Chris Ogbonnaya 2010: S Earl Thomas, LB Sergio Kindle, DT LaMarr Houston, WR Jordan Shipley, QB Colt McCoy, LB Roddrick Muckelroy

FBS Wins: 57

Quality Wins: 33
2005: Louisiana-Lafayette, at Ohio State, at Missouri, Oklahoma, Colorado, Texas Tech, Kansas, Colorado (Big 12 Championship), USC (Rose Bowl)
2006: Rice, Oklahoma, at Nebraska, at Texas Tech, Oklahoma State
2007: TCU, at UCF, Oklahoma, at Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Arizona State (Holiday Bowl)
2008: Florida Atlantic, Rice, Oklahoma, Missouri, Oklahoma State, at Kansas, Ohio State (Fiesta Bowl)
2009: at Wyoming, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, at Missouri, at Oklahoma State UCF, at Texas A&M, Nebraska (Big 12 Championship)

Elite Wins: 6.5
2005: at Ohio State, USC (Rose Bowl)
2006: Oklahoma
2007: Arizona State (Holiday Bowl)
2008: Oklahoma, Ohio State (Fiesta Bowl)
2009: None

Bad Losses: 0

Elite Losses: 3
2006: Ohio State
2008: at Texas Tech
2009: Alabama (BCS Championship)

Bad Wins: 7
2005: Rice
2006: Sam Houston State
2007: Rice, at Iowa State, at Baylor
2008: None
2009: Colorado

Conf. Score: 8.50
2005: 8-0
2006: 6-2
2007: 5-3
2008: 7-1
2009: 8-0