Previews and Predictions for the Week 7 WAC Games.
WAC
Boise State
| Fresno
State | Hawaii
| Idaho
| Louisiana Tech
Nevada
| New
Mexico St |
San Jose
State | Utah State
WAC Fearless Predictions
Sept. 1 | Sept.
8 |
Sept. 15 | Sept.
22 |
Sept. 29
Oct.
6 | Oct. 20 | Oct.
27 |
Nov. 3 | Nov.
10 |
Nov. 17 | Nov.
24 | Dec.
1
How are the picks so far? SU:
32-3 ... ATS: 18-8-1
WAC Game of
the Week
|
WAC Friday, Oct. 12 |
|
Hawaii (6-0) at San Jose State
(3-3)
8:05 p.m. ESPN
Why to Watch: Is this
when Colt Brennan becomes Colt
Brennan again? Here’s his chance
for a national spotlight to make
his statement in the Heisman
race and show everyone what he
can do. However, he’s not quite
healthy, needing to fight
through ankle and leg issues. It
caused him to leave in the first
half of last week’s win over
Utah State, and though the ankle
swelled considerably, Brennan
has pledged to play this week.
Not that the Warriors are in
dire straits if he doesn’t,
since backup Tyler Graunke was
9-of-11 for 246 yards and three
scores last week. San Jose State
generates some interest as well,
thanks to its three-game winning
streak and offensive awakening
from a team that was last year’s
big surprise. Can Dick Tomey put
together a gameplan to stop the
Warrior train?
Why Hawaii Might Win: If
Brennan does play, it’s the
usual bombs-away strategy for
the Warriors – at peak
efficiency. In the first half
last week against USU, Brennan
displayed the precision he had
shown last year and before he
was hurt. He may not have the
same sharpness this week, thanks
to the cranky ankle, but he has
the extra motivation to rock
considering this is his Heisman
moment. Defensively, Hawaii’s
unsung secondary should give
Adam Tafralis and the Spartan
passing game a slew of problems.
Why San Jose State Might Win:
After struggling mightily
against the BCS portion of the
SJSU schedule, Tafralis has
thrown for at least 300 yards in
each of the last three games –
all victories. Last week against
Idaho, he completed 20-of-28 for
302 yards and a pair of scores.
Of course, stopping Hawaii is
all about being decent against
the pass, and the Spartans have
the secondary to give Brennan
his toughest challenge yet. San
Jose State is only allowing 186
yards per game through the air.
Who to Watch: Hawaii
junior linebacker Solomon
Elimimian has had some big games
before this season, but nothing
like what he did last week
against Utah State, notching 20
tackles, broke up a pass, and
registered a tackle for loss and
a sack in the victory. The WAC
Defensive Player of the Week
should dominate against the
feeble Spartan running game and
even pepper Tafralis a bit. The
6-0, 224-pounder isn’t huge, but
he is fast and can get to the
ball.
What Will Happen: The
Spartans may be able to hang in
for a little while, especially
at home, but Brennan will gut it
out and have his day. It just
might be a whole bunch tougher
than he’d like.
CFN Prediction
Hawaii 38
...
San Jose
State
30..
Line: Hawaii -19
Must See Rating: (5 Hideki
Matsui's "collection" - 1 The
Heartbreak Kid) ... 2.5 |
|
WAC Saturday, Oct. 13 |
|
Fresno State (3-2) at Idaho (1-5)
5 p.m. GamePlan
Why to Watch: If you like
the ground game, this is for you
with two of the nation’s most
exciting freshman backs will be
on display. Both FSU’s Ryan
Mathews and Idaho’s Deonte
Jackson are enjoying breakout
debuts, and are keying each
team’s offenses. Jackson is
particularly important, thanks
to the hand injury to QB Nathan
Enderle, and must carry the
brunt of the Vandal load even
more than ever. It’s also
worthwhile to check out the
Bulldogs, who are concluding a
brutal stretch of four road
games in five weeks, triumphing
in two straight WAC games
including a key shootout over
Nevada.
Why Fresno State Might Win:
Mathews. He erupted for 171
yards on just 14 carries in last
week’s win over Nevada. Mathews
scored three times, on runs of
3, 54 and 67 yards, with the
longest coming on the first play
of the second half and breaking
open the game. The FSU defense
hasn’t been shutting too many
teams down, but it should be
able to focus on Jackson and
succeed, since Enderle’s injury
leaves Idaho without its main
man under center. Also factoring
in will be Fresno’s X factor,
A.J. Jefferson, an excellent
return man who scooped up a
blocked field goal against
Nevada and returned it for a TD.
Why Idaho Might Win:
Since Fresno State QB Tom
Brandstater isn’t a big-time
yard producer, the Vandal
defense can focus on Mathews and
try to force the Bulldogs to
throw. Idaho will try to find as
many different ways for Jackson
to get the ball and hope it can
shorten the game by controlling
the clock, and while Brandstater
has had his moments, he hasn’t
exactly been consistent. Idaho
QB Brian Nooy didn’t sparkle in
his starting debut, but the
Vandals did cause some intrigue
by using true freshman Quinn
Ashley in some spread packages
to get him running and add a
different dimension. Fresno has
to prepare for the unknown.
Who to Watch: Nooy is a
redshirt senior who completed
8-of-15 passes for 68 yards
against San Jose State. Only
throwing 24 passes last year,
completing 12, for 194 yards,
and after seeing a bit of time
as a backup over the last few
seasons, he needs to shine now
that he finally gets his shot. A
good athlete, he has a solid arm
and a good knowledge of the
game. He now must do more to get
the ball downfield.
What Will Happen: Fresno
State rebounded from its tough
loss to Texas A&M earlier in the
year to win two straight and
make itself a factor in the WAC.
Without Enderle, Idaho doesn’t
have enough balance to stop the
Bulldogs’ momentum.
CFN Prediction:
Fresno
State 38 ... Idaho
16 ...
Line: Fresno State -10
Must See Rating: (5 Hideki
Matsui's "collection" - 1 The
Heartbreak Kid) ... 1.5
New Mexico State (3-3) at
Louisiana Tech (1-4)
7:00 p.m. ESPN Regional
Why to Watch: While this
doesn’t figure to have any
ramifications in the WAC race,
the Aggies remain in the hunt
for a bowl and could use a win
over the Bulldogs as a huge step
in that direction. Getting the
taste of the 58-0 loss to Boise
State out of their mouths would
also be a plus. The trick is
doing it without starting QB
Chase Holbrook (ribs), who
missed three quarters of last
week’s loss and is likely out
this week. Louisiana Tech,
meanwhile, has lost four in a
row and is looking for some
offensive momentum after scoring
a total of 18 points in its last
three games.
Why New Mexico State Might
Win: Even though redshirt
freshman J.J. McDermott will be
starting in place of Holbrook,
the NMSU passing attack is still
dangerous, and features one of
the nation’s best wideouts in
Chris Williams and enough
overall firepower to get up big
early. If McDermott can get
comfortable in his first career
start, he’ll have ample
opportunity to attack the
nation’s 99th-best
passing defense. The Aggie
defense isn’t bad, either, and
specializes in stopping the run,
which is Louisiana Tech’s
offensive strong suit.
Why Louisiana Tech Might Win:
The Aggie offensive scheme can
be maddening, with its short
passes, screens and rubs, but
McDermott is a greenhorn, and he
can be rattled. Since LTU sacks
the QB almost three times a
game, expect it to put as much
pressure as possible on the
youngster. When the Bulldogs get
the ball, they’ll try to
administer copious doses of
Patrick Jackson, who struggled
last week but has been one of
the WAC’s best backs this year.
Whom to Watch: When
Holbrook couldn’t go beyond the
first quarter against Boise
State, McDermott came on and
completed 10-of-19 passes for 57
yards and two picks. For the
year, he’s 14-of-30 for 74 yards
and three interceptions. The
6-5, 220-pounder sat out last
season after throwing for 2,315
yards as a third-team all-stater
at Cinco Ranch, HS in Katy, TX.
He has promise but little
experience and needs to grow up
fast.
What Will Happen: Anybody
who watched the Aggies sputter
in last week’s loss knows that
McDermott isn’t quite ready. It
won't matter. The Aggie defense,
despite appearances against the
Broncos, isn't truly awful,
while Louisiana Tech doesn't
have enough offense to handle
any sort of a shootout.
CFN Prediction:
New Mexico
State
34 ... Louisiana Tech 29 ...
Line: Louisiana Tech -7
Must See Rating: (5 Hideki
Matsui's "collection" - 1 The
Heartbreak Kid) ... 1.5 |
|
WAC Sunday, Oct. 14 |
|
Nevada (2-3)
at Boise State (4-1)
8 p.m. ESPN
Why to Watch: It’s
another Sunday night appearance
for the Broncos, who always
shine brightest at home on
national TV, even if most of the
world is watching the big
league; or Desperate
Housewives. The 58-0 win
over New Mexico State last
Sunday night was frighteningly
dominant, and now the Broncos
want to show once again that
they’re back to being the team
that rolled through last year.
While Boise State has cranked it
up on both sides of the ball,
Nevada is trying to find an
identity after a freak injury
sidelined its starting QB Nick
Graziano. Graziano tore a tendon
in his foot and is out for the
year, so redshirt freshman Colin
Kaepernick takes over in the
nasty setting against a hot
team. After losing to Fresno
State 49-41, the Wolf Pack can’t
afford another loss if it wants
to stay alive in the WAC race.
Why Nevada Might Win: The
Wolf Pack was reliant on
Graziano’s skills, but
Kaepernick is a redshirt
freshman who launched a strong
assault on the starting job
during the summer and isn’t
coming in out of the blue. The
offense cranks out yards in
bunches, partly due to a strong
running attack, but it’s the
system and the passing game
that’ll continue to shine. Boise
State might have an efficient
offense, but Nevada, even with
Kaepernick, should be able to
keep up the pace.
Why Boise State Might Win:
The Broncos have been cooking on
high since their second-week
loss to Washington. Offensively,
QB Taylor Tharp is efficient and
productive, putting up 1,209
yards and nine scores. He’s
supplemented by Ian Johnson,
who’s averaging 100 yards a
game. But the big story for BSU
is a defense that’s ranked
seventh in the nation and is
allowing just 15.3 points per
game. You don’t just shut out
New Mexico State without doing
something right. Offensively,
this is where Ian Johnson puts
up the Heisman caliber numbers
against the nation’s worst run
defense. Nevada has the
linebackers, but everyone’s been
getting fat by pounding the ball
on the porous front line.
Who to Watch: While
Graziano rehabs his foot and
prepares for spring drills,
Kaepernick looks like he’s
interested in holding onto the
job for the next few years. At
least that’s the way it seemed
after he threw for 384 yards and
four touchdowns and ran for 60
more and another score last week
against Fresno State. The 6-6,
215-pound redshirt freshman
threw for 1,954 yards and 25
scores as a senior at Pittman HS
in Turlock, CA and has the tools
to be an explosive weapon in the
pocket.
What Will Happen:
Kaepernick may be impressive,
but he’s not enough to overcome
a balanced, dangerous BSU squad.
The ugly Pack run defense will
prove costly yet again.
CFN Prediction
Boise
State 44 ...
Nevada
20...
Line: Boise State -26
Must See Rating: (5 Hideki
Matsui's "collection" - 1 The
Heartbreak Kid) ... 2.5 |
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