Scout.com > College Football News
NFL Fearless Predictions - Week 12
Story URL: http://cfn.scout.com/2/704356.html

Staff
CollegeFootballNews.com
Nov 22, 2007

Breakdowns, picks and predictions for all the week one NFL games.

NFL Fearless Predictions  Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4
Week 5
 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 11

Green Bay at Detroit 12:30 pm FOX
Why to Watch: Well, what else do you have to do on Thanksgiving day?  Watch Detroit Lion football…as you have for the past sixty two years.  It’s just that this season the Lions are actually a viable NFC North championship contender.  In any other year, the Lions would be the story in the NFC North; yeah, another year in which the Packers weren’t scorching hot.  The Packers are 9-1 and steamrolling any team in its path, including a 31-17 win over the Panthers last week.  The Lions lost a key game to the Giants 16-10, the second consecutive loss for Detroit, dropping the Lions to 6-4.  The words “must win” come to mind for the Lions, but the Packers are on a roll, so it won’t be easy, even at home on a short preparation week.
Why Green Bay Might Win:   One name.  Two words.  Ryan Grant.  Yeah, that Favre character is just a bit player in the Packer universe now that Mr. Grant has shown up and turned into equal parts Jimmy Taylor and Dorsey Levens.  Since Grant was inserted in the lineup, the Packers offense has scored 33 points against KC, 34 against Minnesota and 31 last week against Carolina.  That’s not a coincidence.  Grant ran for 88 yards on 20 carries, providing equal balance against the 24th ranked defense in the league (353.3 yards per game total defense).
Why Detroit Might Win:  The Packers secondary isn’t the team’s strong suit and it can be had if Lions’ quarterback Jon Kitna gets in a groove early.  Last week, 80-year old Vinny Testaverde threw for 258 yards and two touchdowns against the Packers and that’s with the Panthers passing game.  The Packers defense is 19th in the NFL against the pass, so Kitna should be able to riddle the Packers with one of the best passing offenses in the league.  Kitna threw for 377 yards and a touchdown against the Giants last week and he could do the same against the Packers.
Who to Watch: Lion running back Kevin Jones.  The Lions have run for -18 yards and 25 yards the last two weeks – seven total yards in two weeks.  Ouch.  Jones had those 25 yards last week on eleven carries, but has to be a much bigger factor in this game for the Lions to have a chance.
What Will Happen: Favre won’t have his best game, but when the game gets tight in the fourth quarter, he’ll show up, even if to just prove a point.  He’ll throw for a couple of key fourth quarter touchdowns to put the Packers in front for good and end any chance for a Happy Lions’ Thanksgiving day.
CFN Prediction: Packers 27…Lions 21 
Line: Green Bay -3
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...4

New York Jets at Dallas 4:15 pm CBS
Why to Watch: Typically, a matchup of a 2-8 team and a 9-1 team wouldn’t trigger the football endorphins, but it’s Thanksgiving day in Dallas, so anything may and probably will happen.  The Cowboys’ ninth win came via a 28-23 victory over Washington, all four touchdowns coming courtesy of one Terrell Owens.  The Jets shocked much of the NFL viewing public by defeating the Steelers at home 19-16, setting up this blockbuster matchup on Thanksgiving Day.  Jets quarterback Kellen Clemens will get his first taste of national television exposure against the Cowboy defense, while his counterpart Tony Romo gets another opportunity to flaunt his offense to an adoring public.  This one would be much more fun if it snowed in Dallas, but that’s only happened, what, like once.  Hey, Leon, is that right?
Why the Jets Might Win:  Honestly, is there a distinct reason why they might win – at Dallas, after upsetting Pittsburgh, on Thanksgiving, on a short preparation week?  Wow, tough road.  However, all those reasons combined might be the reason they do win.  Every disadvantage you can think of is hitting the Jets right smack dab in the face this week and it could be the one reason why the Jets do win.  Well, that and the fact that Jets running back Thomas Jones ran for 117 yards on 30 carries last week.  The Jets haven’t seen this type of running since Curtis Martin was toting the mail a few years ago.  The ability to run the football keeps the Cowboy offense on the sideline and off the scoreboard.
Why Dallas Might Win:  Every other reason.  Tony Romo is the best quarterback in the NFC, point blank, end of story and the Cowboy offense is as hot as any unit in the league, including the almighty up in New England.  T.O. has been quiet all season long, which means he’s catching touchdowns, something he did last weekend four times against the Redskins.  Then, take into account the fact that the Jets have the 29th ranked defense in the NFL (368.5 yards per game) and it could be a long day for the scoreboard operator in Texas Stadium.
Who to Watch: Although the Jets defense is a sieve, safety Kerry Rhodes is one of the best players at his position in the league and the most vital player on the field this week for the Jets.  He had a pick last week against the Steelers and has two on the season.  He has three and a half tackles for a loss to lead the team, so he plays a role in the box and in coverage.
What Will Happen: Romo is going to throw the ball until his arm gets tired, lighting up the Jets secondary in the process.  It won’t be Owens four times this week, though…he’ll just spread it around to Jason Witten and Patrick Crayton.  Jets QB Kellen Clemens will be introduced to defensive playmaker DeMarcus Ware early and the pleasantries will end quickly.  Cowboys take this one easily.
CFN Prediction: Cowboys 27…Jets 10
Line: Dallas -14.5
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...2.5

Indianapolis at Atlanta 8:15 pm NFL Network
Why to Watch: The third Thanksgiving Day game has a much different feel now than it did when this one was scheduled.  A primetime Mike Vick-Peyton Manning showdown was supposed to be the tasty treat on a gluttonous day of football.  However, you know the rest.  The fact that the Colts, although leading the AFC South, haven’t played well since the end of the third quarter against the Patriots does raise some concern as to how good the Colts are.  The 13-10 win over Kansas City was enough for win number eight, but it wasn’t pretty by any means.  Consequently, the Falcons got smashed by the Buccaneers at home 31-7, the seventh loss of the season.  One of these teams has to play well on Thursday night, which also means that one of these teams has to break the recent trend.  Well, hopefully one of these teams will show up and play, for the NFL Network’s sake, anyway.
Why Indianapolis Might Win:  Quite frankly, the Falcons are, well, not so good.  They can’t figure out what to do at quarterback, well, finding a guy that’s effective from start to finish.  Manning has struggled the last two weeks, but he’s not the key this week.  That would be running back Joe Addai.  The Falcons defense allowed 102 yards to Buccaneer Earnest Graham last week and it’s 25th in the NFL in rush defense, allowing 124.0 yards per game.  This bodes very well for Mr. Addai.
Why Atlanta Might Win:  Because no one thinks they can win?  There doesn’t seem to be any definitive advantage for the Falcons this week, but that might the exact reason why Atlanta is a scary opponent on Thursday night.  Quarterback Joey Harrington was named the starter for this game and he actually wasn’t that bad last week, in fact he was pretty good.  He completed 16 of 20 passes and a touchdown, finishing the game with a 112.3 rating.  Can he do that against the second ranked defense in the league (266.3 ypg)?  We’ll see.
Who to Watch: Colts linebacker Gary Brackett is a guy who no one would ever pick to be on their team, but every team needs.  Coaches will take a “clipboard” guy over Brackett every day of the week, yet wonder why they’re getting beat by “this guy”.  He’s got 74 tackles on the season, leading the Colts and the Falcons have to find a way to “get a hat” on him or else the running game will be null and void…yet again.
What Will Happen: When Manning last played on Thanksgiving Day, he was lit up the Lions secondary like a Christmas tree.  He’ll do that again, getting back to his normal level of play.  He’ll throw for three touchdowns and 275+ yards on the day, leading the Colts to win number nine.  But, it’ll be Addai who pads the stat sheet, rushing for 145+ yards and a touchdown.  Even without defensive end Dwight Freeney, the Colts will harass Harrington incessantly.  This one won’t be close.
CFN Prediction: Colts 24…Falcons 14
Line: Indianapolis -12
Must See Rating: (5 Hef wants you to take his place on The Girls Next Door, but you can’t because you have to watch this game - 1 Cavemen) ...2

Tennessee at Cincinnati 1:00 pm CBS  
Why to Watch: The Titans are on a two game slide, having lost to Jacksonville two weeks ago and to Denver 34-20 on Monday night.  The Bengals, on the other hand, lost to the Cardinals at home, courtesy of two Antrel Rolle pick six touchdowns, 35-27.  Tennessee is headed in the wrong direction and a loss to Cincinnati to could send the Titans train off the tracks for good. However, a win for the Titans keeps them relevant in a tough AFC playoff race and Jeff Fisher in Bud Adams’ good graces.  A win for Cincinnati only improves the Bengals draft position.
Why Tennessee Might Win:  Seeing Vince Young throw the football for 305 yards last week against the Denver Broncos showed how far the former Texas star has come as a quarterback.  Not an athlete playing quarterback, a true quarterback.  He still has a long way to go, but the man proved he can sling it around.  The Bengals defense is 26th in the league against the pass, yielding 243.1 yards per game, so Young should get comfortable in the pocket and have a great day.
Why Cincinnati Might Win:  Seeing Vince Young throw the football 41 times is a godsend for the Bengals this weekend.  The Titans are most successful when Young throws the ball 20 to 25 times for around 200 yards.  When Young is throwing it that much, the Bengals actually benefit in the long run.  Add in the fact that the Titan defense gave up four big offensive plays to the Broncos and the Bengals have a great shot to knock off the Titans this week.
Who to Watch: Bengal quarterback Carson Palmer has been forced to put the Bengals on his back with a weak running game and a sieve for a defense.  But, last week proved that the burden is too great to carry on his own.  He threw 52 times, completing 37 passes for 329 yards, but he did throw four interceptions, including Rolle’s pair.  He can carry this team, but could use some help from his faltering running game and defense.
What Will Happen: The Titans will ride VY this week to a much-needed victory over the offensively potent Bengals.  He’ll throw for 225+ yards and a couple of touchdowns, with no picks, to lead the Titans to win number seven on the road.  The defense will get pressure on Palmer, creating a handful of turnovers.  A handful of turnovers that Young will turn into points.
CFN Prediction: Titans 24…Bengals 20
Line: Tennessee -1.5
 Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...2.5

Buffalo at Jacksonville 1:00 pm CBS
Why to Watch: No disrespect meant to the Jacksonville Jaguars, but the Bills have got to feel like they’re back playing mere mortals after a 60 minute tussle with the New England Patriots.  The undefeated Patriots destroyed the Bills in Orchard Park last Sunday night 56-10, dropping a ruthless hammer on the Bills in front of a national television audience.  A trip to Jacksonville will have a “walk-in-the-park” feel after last week.  However, the Jaguars are as physical and aggressive as any team in the conference, including New England.  They dropped the Chargers 24-17, holding LT to a scant 62 yards rushing in the process.  Although the playoffs may not be in the cards for the Bills this year, they are for the Jaguars this season.  A loss for the Jaguars may kill any hopes and dreams for the playoffs in 2007, but at least quarterback David Garrard has returned to bolster those hopes.
Why Buffalo Might Win:  Well, the Jaguars aren’t the Patriots for starters.  Rookie star running back Marshawn Lynch may be out again, but the Bills still rushed for over four yards a carry.  But, this one will be on quarterback J.P Losman.  The Jaguars gave up 309 yards passing to Philip Rivers last week, so Losman could have one of his best days as a professional.  He completed 15 of 26 throws for 173 yards against New England and has improved steadily throughout the season.
Why Jacksonville Might Win:  The game’s at home on the banks of the St. John’s River.  The defense is one of the most physical units in the league.  Garrard is back.  Those all sound like real good reasons why Jacksonville might win, in particular Garrard returning to the starting lineup.  The offense is never pretty with Garrard at the helm, but it’s hard to argue with a 114.8 rating and a two touchdown day.  The Bills defense is second to last in the league in total defense, giving up 374.7 yards per game, so expect Garrard to have a big day.
Who to Watch: The Bills pass rush was nearly non-existent last week against the Patriots and it’s been well noted above how valuable Garrard is to the Jaguars offense.  If defensive ends Chad Kelsay and Aaron Schobel can’t generate any heat off the edge, the Bills could be in major trouble.
What Will Happen: The Jaguars will get a balanced performance from its offense – a 200+ yard passing day from Garrard and 150+ yards rushing in the aggregate from Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor.  Losman will struggle in the red zone, although he’ll throw for significant yardage against the Jaguar secondary.  However, the Jags will stiffen in the red zone and keep the Bills out of the end zone.
CFN Prediction: Jaguars 28…Bills 12
Line: Jacksonville -7.5
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...3

Oakland at Kansas City 1:00 pm CBS
Why to Watch: At this point in the season, it’s a pride thing.  Or, it’s an “avoid-the-cellar” thing, take your pick.  The Raiders are mired in another poor season, with only two wins, accompanied by eight losses, including last week’s 29-22 loss to the Vikings.  The Chiefs last two weeks haven’t gone well, either.  After losing to the Broncos 27-11 at home, the Chiefs lost on a last second Adam Vinatieri field goal 13-10, dropping the Chiefs to 4-6 on the season.  This game doesn’t have the cache that it used to have in the grand old days of the AFL, but it’s still Raiders-Chiefs and that’s not a bad thing.
Why Oakland Might Win:  The Chiefs offense is as bad as any offense in the league, sans Buffalo or San Francisco.  Kansas City averages less than 300 yards per game, 280.8 per game and is second to last in the league in total offense.  Now, add in the fact that running back Larry Johnson is still injured, along with Priest Holmes early retirement, and the Chiefs will be lucky to move the ball at all against the Oakland defense.  Oakland’s offense is a pure juggernaut in comparison, averaging 301.6 yards per game.
Why Kansas City Might Win:  After a long spell of quarterback inefficiency for the Chiefs, perhaps Kansas City has found an answer at quarterback.  One game does not make a career, but Brodie Croyle proved that he’s not a total stiff and capable of being this team’s leader for a number of years.  He completed 19 of 27 passes for 169 yards and a touchdown – all without throwing an interception, his bugaboo during the preseason.
Who to Watch: Oakland’s defensive front seven.  Last week, Viking running back Chester Taylor ran for 164 yards and three touchdowns against this defensive grouping.  It’s obvious that the front seven better shut down any Chief running game and put the game on Croyle’s youthful, inexperienced shoulders.
What Will Happen: The Chiefs will ride a stout performance by the defense to an ugly win.  But, a win, nonetheless.  Croyle should manage the game well, as he did last week against the Colts and this time, he’ll throw a couple of touchdown passes down in the red zone to lead the Chiefs offense to one of their best offensive performances of the season.
CFN Prediction: Chiefs – 24…Raiders – 14
Line: Kansas City -5.5
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...2

Seattle at St. Louis 1:00 pm FOX
Why to Watch: Man, the Rams are HOT!  Two wins in a row!?  Where has this been?  Head coach Scott Linehan is probably wondering the same thing.  Be that as it may, the Rams won their second consecutive game at San Francisco, holding the 49ers to a grand total of nine points.  But, the win didn’t get them completely out of the cellar of the NFC West and now the leaders of the division are coming to St. Louis for a visit.  Seattle beat the defending NFC champion Chicago Bears at Qwest Field 30-23 for its sixth win of the season.  The Seahawks beat St. Louis handily 33-6 earlier this season, but the Rams are comfortable at home, so this game could have a much different outcome.
Why Seattle Might Win:  Seattle quarterback Matt Hasselbeck went to work early against the Bears and it paid off in a big way.  He completed 30 of 44 passes for 337 yards and a pair of touchdowns.  The Rams are 16th in the NFL in pass defense, giving up 211.2 yards per game through the air.  The last time that Hasselbeck faced the Rams, he threw for 195 yards and a pair of touchdowns and that was with Shaun Alexander healthy and getting carries.  Without him, Hasselbeck will throw it as much as last week against the Bears.
Why St. Louis Might Win:  The Rams are on a roll, baby.  Two in a row and most of it stemming from the play of quarterback Marc Bulger.  He’s cut down on the interceptions and been effective throwing the football against both the Saints and the 49ers.  But, the offense got a true kick start from running back Steven Jackson, who ran for 92 yards on 23 carries.  Seattle’s defense gives up more than 100 yards per game on the ground, 13th in the league, so Jackson could have a solid day against the Seahawk front seven.
Who to Watch: Ram wide receiver Torry Holt has been rejuvenated lately, well, since Bulger was reinserted into the offensive lineup, in particular.  The former Pro Bowler has 755 yards receiving on 61 catches, ninth in the league in receiving.  He’s the one weapon on the perimeter that Seattle must game plan to take away, but with Bulger hot, it might not be possible.
What Will Happen: Although the Rams are playing as well as they have all season long, the Seahawks are just the better team.  Hasselbeck will have a big day throwing the football, while Maurice Morris will have a productive day running the football.  The combination of run/pass production will have the Seahawks in front from jump, with a seventh win on the horizon.
CFN Prediction: Seahawks 31…Rams 27
Line: Seattle -3
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...2.5

Washington at Tampa Bay 1:00 pm FOX  
Why to Watch: After cruising to a solid 4-2 start, the Redskins have struggled the past four weeks, capped off by last week’s 28-23 loss at Dallas.  Joe Gibbs’ squad has lost three of the past four and now has to go on the road to face the NFC South leading Buccaneers.  On the other hand, Tampa Bay has won its last two games – 17-10 over the Cardinals and 31-7 over the Falcons.  These two teams are seemingly going in different directions and a loss for either team could be detrimental to either one’s playoff hopes, especially Washington.  Tampa Bay’s weak division will help keep them at the top of the division for the rest of the season, but Washington is going to be battling for a wild card spot the rest of the season.
Why Washington Might Win:  The progress of quarterback Jason Campbell has been slow and steady, but it’s been progress and not regression due in large part to his being able to lean on one of the best running games in the league.  The Redskins offense is eighth in the NFL in rushing yards per game, averaging 125.1 yards per game, while Tampa Bay is 18th in the league in stopping the run, yielding 106.8 yards per game.  Expect to see plenty of Clinton Portis and Ladell Betts on Sunday afternoon.
Why Tampa Bay Might Win:  Quarterback Jeff Garcia carried this offense through much of the first half of the season due in large part to the loss of Cadillac Wiliams early in the season.  However, the Bucs have found some balance in the offense because of the play of running back Earnest Graham.  The former Gator ran for 102 yards on 17 carries against the Falcons.  With Graham providing the perfect ying to Garcia’s yang, the Buccaneers have a healthy balance of pass and run that could give the league’s 16th best defense issues.
Who to Watch: Washington rookie safety LaRon Landry.  Fellow safety Sean Taylor is out due to injury, so the former LSU All-American is the team’s stud in the middle.  However, he had a rough game last week at Dallas, in particular in coverage, so expect Garcia to attack the middle of the field and pick on #30 as Tony Romo did last week.
What Will Happen: The Bucs are going to follow the same formula to win number seven on the season.  Last week, the defense forced two fumbles and picked off two passes in the Atlanta win.  The defense will force Campbell into a couple of interceptions and Garcia’s offense will capitalize. Graham has been a pleasant surprise and will have another 85+ yard game to lead the Bucs to a victory.
CFN Prediction: Bucs 23…Redskins 16
Line: Tampa Bay -3
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...3

Houston at Cleveland 1:00 pm CBS
Why to Watch: After winning a combined ten games last season, these two teams have already won a total of eleven games this season after only ten weeks of play.  The Browns have accounted for six of those wins this season, including last week’s bizarre 33-30 overtime win at Baltimore.  The Browns are tied with the Tennessee Titans for the last playoff spot in the AFC, but the Texans are only one game behind them.  Houston won its second consecutive game, 23-10 over the Saints, leaving the Texans at 5-5.  The Texans have never been .500 or better this late in the season and have never played a game that actually has playoff implications.  That ends on Sunday when they head to the 2000s version of the ‘Dawg Pound’.
Why Houston Might Win:  This offense is night and day different with Pro Bowl receiver Andre Johnson in the lineup.  Minutes into the game, Johnson got loose in the Saints secondary for a 73-yard touchdown that put the Texans on top early and the end result was a 23-10 win for Houston.  Johnson opened so many different areas on the field in the passing game for tight end Owen Daniels and wide receiver Kevin Walter, who had eight catches in the aggregate against the Saints.  Johnson’s mere presence was a huge boost to the running game and Ron Dayne, who had 89 yards rushing.  Considering the fact that the Browns are the worst defense in the league, expect Johnson and company to put up some huge numbers this week.
Why Cleveland Might Win:  For as good as the Texans offense played last week, the Browns offense is just as potent.  The Browns are 12th in the league in total offense, averaging 346.6 yards per game, 242.2 yards through the air.  Quarterback Derek Anderson continues his improvement, week in and week out – last week, he completed 24 of 38 passes for 274 yards.  This week could be much of the same against the revamped Texans secondary.  Saint quarterback Drew Brees threw for 290 against the Texans last week and that was without the virtue of big-time perimeter threats.  However…
Who to Watch: …the Browns have one of the best.  A guy that was thought to be a huge bust one year ago has turned into one of the best receivers in the AFC – Braylon Edwards.  The former Michigan man is sixth in the NFL in receiving yardage with 837 yards, averaging 16.4 yards per catch.  The Texans don’t have Pro Bowl cornerback Dunta Robinson to cover Edwards and the secondary will force Edwards to catch everything in front of them.  However, if Edwards does get behind Will Demps and C.C Brown deep downfield, the Texans won’t have a chance to win this game.
What Will Happen: The Browns have gotten all the breaks lately, but this week, the breaks go the other way, in favor of the Texans.  Schaub and Johnson will play pitch and catch all day long against the Browns secondary, while Dayne and the running game will control the fourth quarter in the four minute offense.  Texans will win the most important game of their season, upsetting the Browns on the road.
CFN Prediction: Texans 23…Browns 17 ...
Line: Cleveland -3
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...4

New Orleans at Carolina 1:00 pm FOX
Why to Watch: No two teams in the NFC have been as disappointing this season as these two NFC South rivals.  After losing four in a row to start the season, the Saints won four in a row and figured to be back in the NFC South championship chase.  But, two consecutive losses, including last week’s 23-10 loss at Houston, have them back slipping back into the vicinity of team playing out the string, instead of fighting for a playoff berth.  The Panthers?  They’ve not had the streaky type season that the Saints have had, but inconsistency has been the hallmark of this 2007 season.  The Panthers lost 31-17 to the Packers last week, but a visit from the Saints presents another opportunity to save a seemingly lost season.  Shoot, a win for either team could save a season and cost the loser a spot or two in the 2008 NFL Draft.  Depends on whether you’re a glass half-full or half-empty kind of person.
Why New Orleans Might Win:  There’s no question that the four game win streak was a result of productive play from the Saints offense.  That production was not evident early in the season when the Panthers beat the Saints, but since that loss, the Saints’ offense has been the reason for any team success.  Even in a loss, quarterback Drew Brees threw for 290 yards on 33 of 49 passing and a touchdown against the Texans.  The Saints are seventh in the league in total offense, averaging 350.8 yards per game and if they don’t turn the ball over, the Panthers 14th ranked defense may not keep them out of the end zone this week.
Why Carolina Might Win:  Who can’t win with a 44 year old at quarterback?  No, really.  Especially this week.  Panther quarterback Vinny Testaverde completed 19 of 37 throws for 258 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Packers last week.  Plus, he’s facing the Saints defense that is 27th in the league in total defense, giving up 355.9 yards per game and 28th in pass defense, yielding 254.8 yards per game.  Head coach John Fox trusts Testaverde more than David Carr, so that should tell you what the grand old man can do.
Who to Watch: Saints running back Reggie Bush and Panthers running back DeShaun Foster.  One of these two backs will have a 85+ yard rushing day and it couldn’t come at a better time for each guy.  Bush had 27 touches last week against the Texans, while Foster had 21 touches against the Packers.  However, neither back had more than 110 yards in total offense, but neither defense is good enough to not give up chunks of yardage to the two key backs.
What Will Happen: Neither team has been consistent enough to make you believe it has a distinct advantage over the other.  However, the Panthers are playing at home and that slight advantage might be the difference in this one.  The Saints couldn’t stop Ron Dayne last week and won’t stop Deshaun Foster this week.  Foster will rush for 100+ yards and a couple of touchdowns to lead the Panthers to their fifth win on the season.
CFN Prediction: Panthers 17…Saints 13
Line: New Orleans -3
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...2.5

Minnesota at New York Giants 1:00 pm FOX
Why to Watch: The Giants are notorious for second half swoons and after losing to the Dallas Cowboys two weeks ago, the whispers were a little louder after another strong first half in 2007.  However, the Giants won a key game at Detroit 16-10 to keep the whispers of a second half collapse inaudible.  Well, at least for one week.  On the other hand, the Vikings were without the services of star running back Adrian Peterson, but it didn’t matter.  Riding the Chester Taylor train, the Vikings hammered the Raiders 29-22 for its fourth win of the season.  The Giants aren’t anywhere near as generous on defense, so it could be a long day for the Vikings.  But, if Taylor gets loose, the Giants might be the ones in for a long day.
Why Minnesota Might Win:  Whether Peterson is back in the lineup or not, it won’t matter when it comes to the Vikings running the football.  The Giants are giving up 91.3 yards per game, the seventh ranked rush defense in the league, but it’s not seen a run blocking offensive line like the one that Minnesota is bringing to the Meadowlands.  The Vikings have the number one running game in the league, averaging 177.9 yards per game and the ability to hammer the Giants on the ground, gives the Vikings a shot at win number five.
Why the Giants Might Win:  Other than the Vikings ability to run the football, the Giants hold nearly every other advantage in this game.  The biggest advantage for the Giants is, somewhat surprisingly, quarterback Eli Manning.  The former 2004 number one pick is starting to play like it.  Last week against the Lions, Manning completed 28 of 39 passes for 283 yards and one touchdown.  The Vikings are last in the league against the pass, yielding 288.4 yards per game, so Manning should have one of his best days as a pro.
Who to Watch: Speaking of having his best day as a pro, Vikings quarterback Tarvaris Jackson had his best day as a starting quarterback, completing 17 of 22 passes for 171 yards.  His improvement will take some pressure off of the Vikings runners, but he’s facing one of the best pass rushes in the league this week.  Can he handle the heat or will he succumb to the pressure?  How he fares will determine the outcome of this game.
What Will Happen: The Giants have “right-sized” the ship after the loss to the Cowboys and won’t turn back.  Although the Vikings present a difficult challenge with the way they run the football, the Giants defense will keep the Vikings out of the end zone.  Manning will have another strong day, throwing for 275+ yards and a couple of touchdowns in win number eight.
CFN Prediction: Giants 30…Vikings 13
Line: New York -7
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...3

San Francisco at Arizona 4:05 pm FOX
Why to Watch: How bad has it gotten in San Francisco?  After two wins to open the season, raising the hopes of 49er fans everywhere that the days of Montana, Young and Rice might be back, the bottom has fallen out.  Eight losses in a row have taken a promising young team back about ten steps.  It doesn’t help matters when you lose to a one win team at home, scoring only nine points in the process.  The story, though, is different in Arizona, believe it or not.  The Cardinals are 5-5 after beating the Bengals 35-27 on the road last weekend and right in the thick of the race for the NFC West title or a wild card berth.
Why San Francisco Might Win:  Any team can win an NFL game on any given week, right?  Okay, that’s what we’re going with here.  Because there’s nothing with the way the 49ers are playing that holds any hope for a Niners win.  The Cardinals aren’t the Patriots, so there’s hope for a win, but it better happen with better play from, well, just about everyone on this team.  Trent Dilfer can’t throw two interceptions, and his receivers can’t drop every pass thrown their way.  The only true bright spot for this team was its ability to rush the quarterback.  Last week, defensive tackle Bryant Young led the team with two and a half sacks, while the team piled up six in total.  Considering how well the Cardinals do throw the football, Young and company should be a factor.
Why Arizona Might Win:  Let’s play word association.  Arizona Cardinals.  Pass happy, finesse team?  Oh, you would be wrong, sir.  Okay, so the Cardinals are efficient throwing the football, but they’re not throwing the ball 35 times or more per game to win games.  Quarterback Kurt Warner completed 16 of 28 passes for 211 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s win over Cincinnati.  But, the other reason that assessment was incorrect was due to the play of the Cardinal defense.  The defense is 11th in the league in total defense and accounted for two touchdowns in the Bengal game – two Antrel Rolle pick six returns.
Who to Watch: Cardinal running back Edgerrin James has been a shell of his former Indianapolis Colt self; however, the 49ers are 24th in the league against the run, giving up 122.6 yards per game, so he could resemble the former Indianapolis star this week.  James has 730 yards on the season and should be a 1,000 yard rusher this season, and a good chunk of that yardage could come this week against the 49ers.
What Will Happen: The 49ers are on the ropes, awaiting a knockout blow and the Cardinals will deliver that blow.  Warner will riddle the secondary as Bulger did last week, throwing for 250+ yards and a couple of touchdowns to lead the Cardinals to a third consecutive win. 
CFN Prediction: Cardinals 23…49ers 14 …
Line: Arizona -10.5
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...2

Baltimore at San Diego 4:15 pm CBS
Why to Watch: There have been some disappointing teams in the NFL this season and the Ravens might be the most disappointing of all.  No one expected the Ravens to replicate last year’s 13-3 season, but no one expected 4-6 either.  Although it’s hard to put into words what happened to the Ravens last weekend, the cold hard facts are that it was a 33-30 loss, leaving the Ravens closer to the AFC North cellar than the top of the division.  The Chargers haven’t been as disappointing, but it hasn’t been for a lack of trying.  After finishing 14-2 last season, the Chargers are 5-5 after losing to Jacksonville on the road 24-17.  At least, one of these teams has to win on Sunday to stem the losing that’s careening out of control for these two teams.
Why Baltimore Might Win:  The Ravens spent a ton of money on running back Willis McGahee last offseason and for good reason.  The former Bill has rushed for 851 yards this season and has been THE Ravens offense – last week he ran for 102 yards on 21 carries.  With a quarterback rotation spinning out of control, McGahee gives this offense the ability to keep the chains moving.  San Diego’s defense is 23rd in the NFL stopping the run, yielding 119.7 yards per game, so McGahee has a chance to put a hurting on this defense, like Jaguar backs Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor did to them last week.
Why San Diego Might Win:  One week after looking like a junior high quarterback, Charger signal caller Philip Rivers threw for over 300 yards against the Jaguars.  He still had some junior moments, but against a Ravens defense that gave up 274 yards passing to the Browns Derek Anderson.  The Ravens are 13th in the league in pass defense and present a difficult challenge for Mr. Rivers, but if he plays like he did last week, sans the interceptions, the Chargers offense should move the ball well.
Who to Watch: Try telling future Hall of Fame linebacker Ray Lewis that he’s washed up.  No, you do it.  No, man, you do it.  Well, here’s the good news, guys, neither one of you have to do it, because it’s not happening.  The vet isn’t ready for the retirement home, that’s for sure.  Last week, he had 16 tackles, an interception return for a touchdown and a fumble recovery.  He’s third in the league with 91 tackles behind London Fletcher and Patrick Willis.  Facing LaDainian Tomlinson should stoke the embers within Lewis yet again.
What Will Happen: The Ravens haven’t got much done this season and that won’t change just because they’re heading west.  Charger quarterback Philip Rivers threw for 309 yards last week and will need to do the same this weekend for another Charger victory.  The Chargers have more to play for than the Ravens and the sense of urgency will be apparent on Sunday in a game that won’t be that close.
CFN Prediction: Chargers 27…Ravens 10 ….
Line: San Diego -9.5
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...3.5

Denver at Chicago 4:15 pm CBS
Why to Watch: Only a few weeks ago, the Broncos appeared to be on their way to the AFC West cellar for a long winter night’s nap.  But, Mike Shanahan’s crew decided to show up and become a factor in the AFC West race after all.  The Broncos have won two in a row – 27-11 over Kansas City and 34-20 on Monday night over the Titans.  At 5-5, Denver is tied with San Diego for the division lead, while the Bears are mired in the NFC North cellar at 4-6, a measly five games out of first place with six to play.  Yikes.  The Bears have been riding the roller coaster all season long and last week, the roller coaster took a detour through one of the ride’s valleys, as the Bears lost to Seattle 30-23.  But, a home game might be the perfect tonic for a team that needs a win in the worst way.
Why Denver Might Win:  Since quarterback Jay Cutler’s epiphany after speaking with team leaders John Lynch and Rod Smith, his play has been strong.  He outplayed Vince Young on Monday night, completing 16 of 21 passes for 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns.  Both touchdown throws showed exactly why the Broncos drafted the former Vanderbilt star.  He should have his way with the defense formerly known as the Bears defense.  This unit is getting shredded on a weekly basis and is 22nd in the league in pass defense, giving up 222.8 yards per game.  Considering the fact that Seattle’s Matt Hasselbeck threw when and where he wanted to throw last week (337 yards and two touchdowns), Cutler should have similar success on Sunday.
Why Chicago Might Win:  Could it actually be that this offense is actually more asset than liability because quarterback Rex Grossman is back in the lineup?  Really?  Yeah, believe it.  Grossman’s time served as an apprentice to Brian Griese appeared to be the perfect tonic.  He completed 24 of 37 passes last week for 266 yards, but most importantly, he didn’t throw any interceptions.  The Broncos defense was once the best pass defense in the NFL, but has slipped in recent weeks down to tenth in the league after getting lit up by the likes of Vince Young.  If Young can throw for over 300 yards on this unit, there’s no telling what Grossman can do.
Who to Watch: Chicago tackles Jon Tait and Fred Miller.  These two won’t want to hear the name Patrick Kerney for a while after what the Seahawk defensive end did last Sunday.  Three sacks for Kerney and five for the Seahawks in total.  The Broncos don’t have dominating edge rushers, but Elvis Dumervil gives anyone problems. Suffice it to say, these two must have a better game this week for the Bears offense to be successful.
What Will Happen: Cutler will have another strong performance, throwing for 250+ yards against the banged-up Bears secondary.  The Bears will have to play catch up throughout the game, which doesn’t suit Grossman well at all.  The prodigal son will turn the ball over a couple of times, at a minimum, and Cutler will capitalize on his mistakes, leading the Broncos to win number six.
CFN Prediction: Broncos 21…Bears 17 …
Line: Chicago -2
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...3

Philadelphia at New England 8:15 pm NBC
Why to Watch: Honestly, are they really that good?  The Patriots.  Are they really that good?  Undefeated.  Untied.  Relatively untested.  They had the week off to get ready for the Bills and it showed in a major way.  When the game was over in the first five minutes, I’d say that the two weeks to prepare were spent in the right way.  Tom Brady threw for five touchdowns in a 56-10 slapping of the Bills, while the Eagles fought through offensive ineptitude for much of the game to beat the winless Dolphins 17-7 at the Linc.  Philly may not have quarterback Donovan McNabb, and has to travel to Gillette Stadium.  That doesn’t sound like a recipe for success against this Patriot team, that’s for sure.
Why Philadelphia Might Win:  Uh, can we talk about the reasons why they might get inside the number?  Okay, agreed.  The one X factor in this game for the Eagles is running back Brian Westbrook.  The only reason the Eagles have won five games this season is because of Westbrook.  He proved that last week against the Dolphins, rushing for 148 yards on 32 carries, proving that he’s more than just a dual-threat weapon – he can pound out the tough yards in a grind-it-out type game.  Oh yeah, the Patriots punting game is one of the worst in the NFL.  That might help.
Why New England Might Win:  Isn’t it obvious?  Everything.  But, specifically against the Eagles, the ability to beat the blitz is tantamount to a Patriots blowout win.  The Eagles will throw a bunch of different blitz looks and schemes at Brady to see how he handles the pressure.  The Eagles defense is 14th in the league in pass defense, giving up 210.8 yards per game, but they’ve had success due to the ability to harass the quarterback.  And, well, #12 is John Beck, either, so the Eagles could get torched against the blitz.
Who to Watch: The Patriots running backs.  It seems the Patriots just choose straws before the game to see who’ll get the lion’s share of the carries.  Last week, Heath Evans and Kyle Eckel combined for 20 of the 29 runs that the Patriots had against the Bills.  Honestly, what it shows is it doesn’t matter who gets carries for this team – they’ll have a field day, no pun intended.
What Will Happen: Brady is going to have a bad game, throwing for only four touchdowns, against the blitzing Philly ‘D’.  He’ll throw for 300+ yards and no picks in a dismantling of the Eagles, while McNabb watches from his seat on the bench.  It’d be fun if it was close, however, don’t hold your breath.
CFN Prediction: Patriots 45…Eagles 17 …
Line: New England -23
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...3

Miami at Pittsburgh 8:30 pm ESPN November 25, 2007
Why to Watch: Remember when this game used to determine which team was the best in the AFC?  Man, that seems like thirty-five years ago.  Well, it was.  The 1970s power teams have taken divergent paths this season – one team is winning and one team, well, is losing.  A lot.  The Dolphins have lost ten in a row, quarterback Trent Green and running back Ronnie Brown, while the Steelers are a strong 7-3, leading the AFC North.  The Steelers can’t afford a second consecutive loss with the Browns playing great football at this time of the season.  The Dolphins have done nothing but lose this season, so a loss here is just another nail in the drafting first in the 2008 NFL Draft coffin.
Why Miami Might Win:  Okay, c’mon, is there anything that makes you think that the Dolphins can win this game? No Ronnie Brown.  A rookie starting at quarterback.  They’ve got to make the trip to Pittsburgh for a Monday night game when the Steelers have owned Monday night.  The only true positive for Dolphins fans last week was the play of rookie Ted Ginn Jr.  The former Buckeye returned a punt 87 yards for a touchdown and also led the Dolphins in receptions with four (52 yards led the team as well).  The combination of John Beck to Ginn should give Dolphin fans hope…for the future.
Why Pittsburgh Might Win:  The dominant running game against the worst run defenses in the league.  The Dolphins are 32nd and dead last in the league in rushing defense, giving up 154.9 yards per game and must face the number two rushing offense in the league, averaging 147.5 yards per game.  It’s a pretty simple deduction – Steelers will hand the ball to ‘fast’ Willie Parker a lot on Sunday and it’ll be to the Steelers benefit to do so.
Who to Watch: Pittsburgh’s offensive line.  The Steelers front five gave up seven sacks to the Jets defense last week, a key reason why the Steelers offense was stuck in neutral for much of the game.  The Dolphins don’t appear to present as big a pass rush threat, but then again neither did the Jets prior to last week’s game.  This unit must get back on track this week or else a fourth loss is on the horizon.
What Will Happen: Roethlisberger and Parker will put their foot on the gas pedal and not let up for a full 60 minutes.  The former Miami product will throw for 225+ yards a couple of touchdowns, while Parker has another 100+ yard day against one of the worst run defenses in the NFL.  If the Steelers had beaten the Jets last week, perhaps they would be looking past the Dolphins.  Not now.  The Steelers will hammer the Dolphins into submission.
CFN Prediction: Steelers 34…Dolphins 7 …
Line: Pittsburgh -16
Must See Rating: (5
The inside of your eyelids after eating two pounds of turkey  - 1 The inside of a gym with every 120 calories equaling a mile on the treadmill) ...2

 


Copyright © Scout.com and CollegeFootballNews.com