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ACC Fearless Predictions, Sept. 20
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CollegeFootballNews.com
Sep 15, 2008

Previews and Predictions for the Week 4 ACC Games.


ACC
Atlantic Boston Coll | ClemsonFlorida St | Maryland | NC State | Wake Forest
Coastal Duke | Georgia Tech | Miami | North Carolina | Virginia | Virginia Tech

ACC Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6 | Sept. 13

How are the picks so far? SU: 22-6 ... ATS: 7-10

- ACC Week Four Predictions, Part 2

ACC Game of the Week

Wake Forest (2-0) at Florida State (2-0), 7:00 EST, ESPN2
Why to watch: Easily the game of the week in the ACC, the winner at Doak Campbell will join Clemson as the co-favorite in the Atlantic Division. Wake Forest has beaten Florida State the last two years, and the mocking “Tomahawk Chop” from the Groves Stadium crowd is something Seminole players, coaches, and fans haven’t forgotten. Florida State is one of the nation’s big mysteries, which will happen when you open with Western Carolina and Chattanooga, and have a handful of players serving suspensions. It’s a sign of the times that a ‘Nole victory over Wake Forest would qualify as major progress in Tallahassee. The Demon Deacons are also 2-0, but have been tested by Baylor and Ole Miss, and are coming out of a bye week. They’ve been surprisingly sporadic in two staple areas, defense and the running game, needing to tighten things up in time in both areas for this weekend’s pivotal third game.
Why Wake Forest might win: This is one of those games that the patchwork Seminole offensive line gets exposed. The program’s lack of depth and experience up front can be hidden against the ranks of the FCS, but not the Demon Deacons. If NG Boo Robinson and the ends can’t generate pressure the old fashioned way, Wake will turn loose the likes of LB Aaron Curry and S Chip Vaughn, knowing that corners Alphonso Smith and Brandon Ghee will survive in man coverage. On offense, Riley Skinner gives the Deacons a big edge at quarterback, and Josh Adams and Brandon Pendergrass are a dynamite one-two punch out of the backfield.
Why Florida State might win: This is one of those games that the patchwork Deacon offensive line gets exposed. Hey, Wake Forest has issues of its own in the trenches, breaking in a bunch of new starters with mixed results. The running game has been a disappointment, and things certainly won’t get any easier versus Florida State. Even with the suspensions, the Seminoles remain a fast and ferocious unit that’s played with passion in the first two games. DE Everette Brown will give fits to the Wake tackles, and the return of DT Budd Thacker from suspension gives the ‘Noles a veteran presence in the middle of the line.
Who to watch: Just how good is the Florida State offense? This is what it comes down to for the Seminoles, right? They’ve scored 115 points in two games, but none of it will matter if they can’t deliver when it counts Saturday night. QB Christian Ponder has been on the money with his passes and D’Vontrey Richardson has excelled as a dual-threat. Both are expected to participate under center in the biggest game of their lives.
What will happen: There’s something different about this Florida State team. Maybe it’s the confidence and reps that come with opening against a couple of punching bags. Maybe it’s the offense, which has begun birthing new playmakers. Or maybe it’s the sense of urgency that follows unacceptable mediocrity. Whatever the reason, the Seminoles will exact revenge on Wake Forest, getting a late touchdown from WR Preston Parker to hold off the Deacons in one of the most exciting games of the weekend.
CFN Prediction: Florida State 28 … Wake Forest 20 ... Line: Florida State -4.5
Must See Rating: (5 Dr. 90210 - 1 Biggest Loser: Families) … 3.5
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections  

Saturday, September 20

Mississippi State (1-2) at Georgia Tech (2-1), 12 EST GamePlan
Why to watch: If you rue the day that the forward pass was invented, this week’s game in Atlanta was scheduled just you. For everyone else, the first meeting between Mississippi State and Georgia Tech since 1929 won’t exactly be a must-see event. Although the Yellow Jackets suffered their first defeat of the season, a 20-17 nail-biter to Virginia Tech, being 2-1 at this point is a full game better than expectations. With Duke and Gardner-Webb to follow, a win here to start the three-game homestand should have Tech at 5-1 before traveling to Clemson on Oct. 18. The Bulldogs have the distinction in taking part in one of the ugliest SEC games ever, a 3-2 loss to Auburn last Saturday. Having already lost to Louisiana Tech, they can ill-afford to drop to 1-3 and still have a serious shot at another bowl invitation.
Why Mississippi State might win
: The reason the Bulldogs have been in every game is because the defense can play. They’ve allowed just one meaningful touchdown all season and have been unbeatable through the air. With DT Jessie Bowman and LB Dominic Douglas bolstering the front seven, Mississippi State has owned the line of scrimmage, racking up 17 tackles for loss. As long as this unit keeps playing lights out, the Bulldogs will be in every game no matter what the offense produces.
Why Georgia Tech might win: The Yellow Jackets defense has been every bit as good as the Bulldogs through three games, shutting down passing lanes and generating constant pocket pressure. Wesley Carroll’s problems at quarterback will be exacerbated by Darryl Richard, Derrick Morgan, and Vance Walker, who’ll be in his grill all afternoon. Bad offenses, like the one from Starkville, have little chance of moving the ball on this seasoned front seven.
Who to watch: Sophomore QB Josh Nesbitt is evolving into a nice fit for the Tech offense. He leads the Yellow Jackets in rushing and is coming off his best game, a 260-yard, two-touchdown effort in Blacksburg. When he and B-back Jonathan Dwyer are clicking on the option, the ground attack can wear out even quality defenses.
What will happen: Even after losing to Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech is a confident group that’s getting better with more time in the new system. It’ll be another tight defensive struggle for the Yellow Jackets, who’ll survive on the strength of a defense that’ll shut the door on Mississippi State.
CFN Prediction: Georgia Tech 20 … Mississippi State 12 ... Line: Georgia Tech -7.5
Must See Rating: (5 Dr. 90210 - 1 Biggest Loser: Families) … 3
 
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections  

Virginia Tech (2-1) at North Carolina (2-0), 3:30 EST
Why to watch: All of a sudden, Carolina is a hot topic in ACC circles. That’ll happen when you go on the road as an underdog and embarrass the home team in front of a national audience. The Tar Heels toyed with Rutgers on Thursday night, 44-12, sending a message to the country that this young program might be ready to explode. With a win over Virginia Tech, North Carolina will move into the Top 25 and instantly become the favorite in the Coastal Division. With consecutive wins over Furman and Georgia Tech, the Hokies have rebounded from their opening day loss to East Carolina, but still have plenty of work to do on offense. No longer a candidate to redshirt, QB Tyrod Taylor has provided a much-needed jolt of electricity in both of the victories. If Tech can go on the road and beat one of the league’s rising stars, it’ll leave no doubt that another league title is within reach.
Why Virginia Tech might win: For all of the hurdles the Hokies are facing this fall, the defense remains a steady unit that swarms to the ball and will create turnovers. DE Orion Martin is disruptive coming off the edge and CB Victor Harris will shut down whichever Carolina receiver he draws. The Tar Heels aren’t exactly a juggernaut on offense, getting poor production from the running backs. Taylor is the type of difference-maker that the Carolina defense hasn’t had to stop in the first two games.
Why North Carolina might win: Thursday night was proof that Butch Davis is recruiting the kind of speed and talent to Chapel Hill that can finally challenge the best that the ACC has to offer. The defense, in particular, gets to the ball in a hurry and shouldn’t have many problems with the punchless Virginia Tech offense. If the Heels can prevent Taylor from getting into space, no one else is going to hurt them. The Hokie line remains a question mark and the skill position players scare no one. The team leader in rushing and receiving yards, Brandon Tate will also help level the playing field on special teams, which is usually the domain of the Hokies.
Who to watch: Big, young, and fast, Quan Sturdivant and Bruce Carter are microcosms of what North Carolina is trying to do on the defensive side of the ball. The sophomore linebackers are off to great starts in their second season, and will be responsible for containing Taylor and Tech running game that’ll remain the staple of the offense.
What will happen: Virginia Tech is about to walk into a baby blue buzzsaw. Forget the histories of the two schools. North Carolina is the better team, and it’ll be playing in front of a home crowd that understands the significance of this game. The Tar Heel defense will dominate a Hokie offense that had problems moving the ball on Furman two weeks ago. A secret no more, Carolina will be the Coastal Division favorite by Sunday morning.
CFN Prediction: North Carolina 24 … Virginia Tech 16 ... Line: North Carolina -2
Must See Rating: (5 Dr. 90210 - 1 Biggest Loser: Families) … 3.5
 
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections  

East Carolina (3-0) at North Carolina State (1-2), 12:00 EST
Why to watch: East Carolina played with fire last weekend and darn near got burned. The Pirates, darlings among the non-BCS schools, needed to rally late in the fourth quarter against Tulane to avoid being on the other end of an upset. They better get used to seeing the other team’s best effort, which is what they’ll experience as an unbeaten and ranked program. North Carolina State has sputtered to a 1-2 start, beating William & Mary in a game that was sandwiched between losses at South Carolina and Clemson, respectively. These two schools have a long history and are separated by just 90 miles, so more than just a victory will be at stake. For the Wolfpack, it has a chance to build some momentum with a rare win over a Top 25 team.
Why East Carolina might win: The way the Pirates are playing defense, they shouldn’t have many problems with the Wolfpack. Take out the game with William & Mary, and the Pack offense has produced one field goal in eight quarters. The passing game has miserable and the offensive line will struggle to control a big East Carolina front that’s led by end C.J. Wilson and tackle Jay Ross. Despite opening with ranked teams, the Pirates lead Conference USA in pass defense and are No. 2 in total defense.
Why NC State might win
: With no help whatsoever from the offense, the Wolfpack D has single-handedly kept the program from getting humiliated in the first three games. LB Nate Irving is having an All-ACC start and Willie Young can be a nuisance rushing around the edge. The East Carolina offense has been mortal during the three-game winning streak, averaging 26 points and failing to get the running game started against Tulane. While QB Patrick Pinkney is performing like an MVP, the rest of the Pirates can be controlled by the State defense.
Who to watch: It didn’t catch up with East Carolina last week, but at some point, the lack of a running game could be their downfall. While it’s a shared problem with the offensive line, it’s incumbent upon Brandon Simmons and Jon Williams to start making something out of nothing. The Pack has been inconsistent in run defense, so this week would be a good time to get on course.
What will happen: For the second straight week, East Carolina will have to scratch and claw in order to preserve its perfect record. It’s a good thing N.C. State is a mess on offense or else this game would be doubly dangerous for the Pirates. They’ll survive behind the play of Pinkney, who’ll be a rock when the game is tight in the second half.
CFN Prediction: East Carolina 17 … NC State 14 ... Line: East Carolina -7.5
Must See Rating: (5 Dr. 90210 - 1 Biggest Loser: Families) … 2.5
 
- Click here to receive ATS Consultants FREE selections  


- ACC Week Four Predictions, Part 2


  



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