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Week 3 Big East Fearless Predictions
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Staff
CollegeFootballNews.com
Sep 6, 2008

The much-maligned Big East gets two big chances to turn around its awful season as Rutgers plays North Carolina tonight and Matt Grothe's South Florida takes on Kansas on Friday. Check out all the Previews and Predictions for the Week 3 Big East Games


Big East 
Cincinnati | Connecticut | Louisville | Pittsburgh | Rutgers
South Florida | Syracuse | West Virginia


Big East Fearless Predictions Aug. 30 | Sept. 6

How are the picks so far? SU: 11-4 ... ATS: 4-6

Big East Game of the Week

Kansas (2-0) at South Florida (2-0), 8:00 EST ESPN2   Friday, September 12
Why to watch: ESPN2? ESPN2?! This is a BCS-caliber showdown worthy of an Orange Bowl, but it’s an afterthought on a huge weekend of games. This will be one of the big bragging right games for two conferences and two teams looking to prove that last year wasn’t a fluke. The Big East desperately needs something positive to go its way after a nightmare of a start to the 2008 season, and a win over Kansas in a super-charged atmosphere would do it. USF wasn’t sharp and almost lost to a vastly inferior UCF team in overtime last week, but came through with a touchdown pass to take the lead and a hold to end the fun. Next week the Bulls go back into cupcake-land with a date with FIU, who lost to KU to start the season, 40-10. Kansas came up with a good win over Virginia Tech in the Orange Bowl, but there’s still a sense of skepticism around Mark Mangino’s club. It had one other big test last year, Missouri, and lost. However, if the Jayhawks go into Tampa and come out alive, they should end up going 6-0 before a road trip to Oklahoma. 
Why Kansas might win: This is a brutally efficient team leads the nation in pass efficiency defense and has allowed just 406 total yards of offense and no touchdowns. The one touchdown given up came on a punt return against FIU. Meanwhile, the offense has gone back to last year as Todd Reesing has been ultra-efficient. South Florida has an aggressive, tough defense, but it hasn’t shown it yet this year when it comes to getting into the backfield.
Why South Florida might win: The USF run defense has been a brick wall so far, and KU is still trying to figure out its running back situation. The Bulls would’ve beaten UCF with ease last week if they were focused and didn’t turn the ball over twice. Matt Grothe has the offense humming with a nice balance; the team isn’t just about defense like it was at times last year.
Who to watch: This game is on the two star quarterbacks. Grothe was brilliant against UCF, outside of the two interceptions. The junior threw for 346 yards and three touchdowns and ran for 54 yards, and threw a nice ball on the game-winning score. Meanwhile, Reesing has thrown for 668 yards and six touchdowns with an interception in his first two games. He’s a steady junior leader who can’t get rattled when the Bull defense starts swarming.
What will happen: South Florida will have the emotion and the fire, but Kansas will have the execution. It’ll be a hard-hitting battle with several big plays and lots of points, but KU will win the battle of the two star quarterbacks.
CFN Prediction: Kansas 27 … South Florida 24 ... Line: USF -3.5
Must See Rating: (5 Hole in the Wall - 1 First Blood) … 5
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Thursday, September 11

North Carolina (1-0) at Rutgers (0-1), 7:30 EST, ESPN
Why to watch: Neither North Carolina nor Rutgers played particularly well in the opener. The difference was a matter of scheduling, with the Heels escaping McNeese State and the Knights getting dumped by Fresno State. Now, both schools have something to prove in front of a national TV audience. Carolina is eyeing the ACC Coastal Division, especially after incumbent Virginia Tech lost its first game to East Carolina. To reach that goal, however, head coach Butch Davis knows his kids have to make a quantum leap from a week ago. While the Heels were bad, the Knights were worse, nearly getting blanked in front of a disgusted home crowd. Just 5-6 over the last 11 games, the program is in danger of squandering some of the goodwill it accumulated in 2005 and 2006. If the Fresno State game was any indication, life after RB Ray Rice is going to include plenty of stalled drives.
Why North Carolina might win: Davis’ wish to get Greg Little on track and establish the running game will come to fruition at Rutgers’ expense. The Knights remain weak in the middle of the defense, yielding 206 yards to Ryan Matthews and the rest of the Fresno State running game. On the flip side, the Heels are stout on the interior, led by budding superstar Marvin Austin. The new Rutgers backfield of Kordell Young and Mason Robinson won’t have much luck improving on the three yards a carry it produced two weeks ago.
Why Rutgers might win: The Scarlet Knights have the parts to abuse North Carolina’s sore spot, its pass defense. Yes, QB Mike Teel has plenty to prove, but as long as receivers Kenny Britt and Tiquan Underwood are running routes, Rutgers will have the ability to make plays downfield. If Teel can step up his game, an absolute must going forward, he’ll get multiple opportunities to burn that Tar Heel defensive backfield. It’ll take just one or two connections for things to loosen up for the Knight running game.
Who to watch: If not for do-everything Tar Heel Brandon Tate, Carolina would have joined Rutgers in the winless column. The senior bailed his teammates out against McNeese State, accounting for a school-record 397 yards and scoring twice. If Rutgers doesn’t know where No. 87 is at all times, he’ll single-handedly send it to 0-2.
What will happen: After just one game, Greg Schiano is staring at a must-win against Davis, his mentor when the two were at Miami. He’ll lean on the right arm of Teel, who’ll come through with 250 yards and a couple of touchdown passes in a nip-and-tuck thriller between two evenly-matched programs.     
CFN Prediction: Rutgers 28 … North Carolina 20 ... Line: Rutgers -4.5
Must See Rating: (5 Hole in the Wall - 1 First Blood) … 3
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 Saturday, September 13

Penn State (2-0) at Syracuse (0-2), 3:30 EST, ABC
Why to watch: Penn State and Syracuse renew an old Eastern rivalry that’s been dormant for almost two decades. Unfortunately, only one of the participants is playing as if belongs in the FBS, let alone this game. As much of the Big Ten shows warts, the Nittany Lions have raised their profile, mauling Oregon State a week after disposing of Coastal Carolina. There’s genuine excitement surrounding the new spread offense, which is getting maximum production from QB Darryl Clark and the running tandem of Evan Royster and Stephon Green. Every time it looks like Syracuse has reached a new level ineptitude, it takes out a shovel and digs a little deeper. Now 0-2 after getting roughed up by Akron, the Orange is struggling for something positive to rally around. Alas, lowly Northeastern visits the Carrier Dome in a week.
Why Penn State might win: As good as the Nittany Lion skill position players have been, it’s the offensive line that’s really made the offense hum over the first two weeks. Gerald Cadogan, A.Q. Shipley, and the rest of front wall have dominated, failing to yield a sack and paving the way for the Big Ten’s top offense. The unit will toy with a Syracuse defense that’s been manhandled in both of its games. Penn State will continue to mix things up on offense, getting little resistance from the Orange.
Why Syracuse might win: With Cameron Dantley at the controls, the Orange offense showed a pulse in the loss to Akron, scoring four touchdowns and displaying rare balance. Dantley accounted for three of those scores, getting a helping hand from the running game. Curtis Brinkley and Delone Carter were solid, combining for 220, and will have continued success against a Penn State defensive line that’s the program’s weakest link. Brinkley and Carter will need to control the clock to keep the Lion offense on the sidelines.
Who to watch: Clark was a serious question mark heading into the season, but he’s already earned the confidence of the staff and the fans. A strong, stocky player, he’s beginning to look like Michael Robinson with better passing skills. If he continues to develop within this offense, Penn State will be a tough out.
What will happen: On Friday night, the premiere of “The Express”, a movie about Ernie Davis, will take place at Syracuse’s historic Landmark Theatre. It’ll be all downhill after that for the Orange who’ll have no answers for a Penn State offense that’s just beginning to hit its stride.

CFN Prediction: Penn State 41 … Syracuse 14 ... Line: Penn State -27.5
Must See Rating: (5 Hole in the Wall - 1 First Blood) … 2
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Virginia (1-1) at Connecticut (2-0), 7:30 EST, ESPNU
Why to watch: Connecticut added another chapter to its book on Winning Ugly for Dummies, outlasting Temple in overtime, 12-9. Randy Edsall’s time-tested formula of a stout defense and a relentless running game was enough for the Huskies, who are 2-0 for the fifth time in the last six years. They have a ton of work to do, primarily in the passing game, and just a couple of weeks before the start of the Big East portion of the schedule. If Connecticut’s win on Saturday was ugly, Virginia’s was downright hideous. The Cavs narrowly escaped Richmond, 16-0, managing just a field goal in the first 53 minutes. While no one is surprised that Virginia is rebuilding, the first two games have shown that its timetable for success will be longer than originally expected.
Why Virginia might win: If Connecticut can’t produce more points on offense, it’s going to play tight games all season long. Although the running game has been fine, the passing attack has been awful, producing no touchdown passes in two games. The Cavaliers have enough talent in the front seven, namely linebackers Antonio Appleby, Clint Sintim, and Jon Copper, to stack the line of scrimmage and force Husky Tyler Lorenzen to beat them.
Why Connecticut might win: Virginia had trouble moving the ball on Richmond. How will it navigate a nasty UConn defense that’s yet to allow a touchdown in eight quarters? The Huskies boast a terrific D that swarms to the ball, creates takeaways, and doesn’t give up many yards after the catch. They’ll clamp down on a Cavalier offense that’s not blocking well for the running backs and is suffering through growing pains at quarterback. This is a terrible match up for the Cavalier offense.                 
Who to watch: For the second straight week, Husky RB Donald Brown has been the savior for Randy Edsall’s program. Second nationally in rushing, he ripped through a good Temple defense for a career-high 214 yards and the game-winning score. For Virginia, the big problem is at quarterback where Peter Lalich didn’t make the trip thanks to legal problems stemming from an underage drinking charge. It’ll be up to sophomore Mark Verica to take over and come through in his first start.
What will happen: If you’re looking for fireworks and offensive execution, locate the nearest remote control. This will not be a pretty game between two schools that are really struggling on offense. Brown will keep the chains moving with his third straight 100-yard day, but LB Scott Lutrus, DE Cody Brown, and the rest of the defense will preserve another close win for Connecticut.

CFN Prediction: Connecticut 23 … Virginia 16 ... Line: Connecticut -11
Must See Rating: (5 Hole in the Wall - 1 First Blood) … 2
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